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Post-pandemic recovery slow but steady

​​​COLLEGE STATION – Since the start of the year, COVID​-19 cases have been declining steadily and life has gradually returned to something resembling before the pandemic. Employment, however, is still a work in progress.

Texas, like the rest of the U.S., is still trying to recover jobs lost since March of last year. As of March 2021, Texas has done better regaining jobs than the nation as a whole. Texas didn’t have as large a gap to make up, having lost at most around 12 percent of pre-pandemic jobs compared with 15 percent nationwide.

Nonfarm Employment Recovery - March 2021

One of the key drivers toward recovery has been the COVID vaccine rollout. As of mid-April, approximately 66 percent of Texans aged 18 years or older reported receiving full or partial vaccine doses, according to the U.S. Census Bureau’s Household Pulse Survey. An additional almost 8 percent reported that vaccination is on the to-do list.

Despite the vaccine, consumer behavior appears to be on a slow crawl back to normal. Almost 40 percent of Texans report no change in shopping trip habits, while 31 percent report making more combined shopping trips, resulting in fewer overall trips. Eighteen percent reported more online shopping, resulting in fewer in-person shopping trips.

On the housing front, the risk of losing one’s home is still a real threat for many Texans. In general, homeowners appear to be in much better shape than renters. When asked in mid-April by the Census Bureau, almost 90 percent of Texas homeowners replied the threat of losing their home due to foreclosure in the upcoming months was either not very likely or not likely at all. Around one-third of renters, meanwhile, responded that the risk of upcoming eviction was either very likely or somewhat likely.

Finally, another nuance of the pandemic is the shift toward remote work. Almost a third of Texas households reported having at least one adult in the family still working remotely. Further data indicate that half the households claiming a college degree were still working away from the office. That figure drops to approximately 15 percent for households with only a high school degree.​

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Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center

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